Nate Silver wrote about this twice: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/06/live-blog-the-2012-presidential-election/#differences-in-political-bett

Nate Silver wrote about this twice: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/06/live-blog-the-2012-presidential-election/#differences-in-political-betting-markets-persist http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/06/live-blo... http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/24/oct-23-the-virtues-and-vices-of-election-prediction-markets/ http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/24/oct-23-t...