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>Scientists, statisticians, economists, and engineers shouldn't be worshiped as sources of incontrovertible truth - they're just humans trying to do the best ob
by SkyMarshal 14y ago
>Scientists, statisticians, economists, and engineers shouldn't be worshiped as sources of incontrovertible truth - they're just humans trying to do the best objective, accurate job that they can!
True, but they're a big step in the direction of progressively less wrong [1] from the traditional alternative punditry and 'gut' analysis [2].
If I were a movie producer I'd buy the rights to Moneyball 2, script it about this election, and recast the gossiping scouting staff as all the blowhards [3] and bs artists [4].
Nate Silver, Andrew Tannenbaum [5], Drew Linzer [6], Sam Wang [7] and the other modelers deserve a lot of credit for helping the public cut through the bullshit.
[1]: http://serendip.brynmawr.edu/sci_cult/lesswrong/lesswrong/ http://serendip.brynmawr.edu/sci_cult/lesswrong/lesswrong/
[2]: http://blogs.wsj.com/peggynoonan/2012/11/05/monday-morning/ http://blogs.wsj.com/peggynoonan/2012/11/05/monday-morning/
[3]:
http://www.theatlanticwire.com/politics/2012/10/people-who-cant-do-math-are-so-mad-nate-silver/58460/ http://www.theatlanticwire.com/politics/2012/10/people-who-c...
[4]: http://drudgereport.com http://drudgereport.com
[5]: http://electoral-vote.com http://electoral-vote.com
[6]: http://votamatic.org http://votamatic.org
[7]: http://election.princeton.edu/ http://election.princeton.edu/
- Aaronontheweb 14y agoMy point wasn't so much about rate of errors or cutting through the bullshit. My point is that it is thoroughly, truly annoying to see masses "smart" but still obviously ignorant people apply religious qualities to scientists and statisticians because the outcomes are either a source of divine comfort or blasphemy. Watch either of the "Go God Go" episodes of South Park if you want a more concrete example of the behavior I'm describing: http://www.southparkstudios.com/full-episodes/s10e12-go-god-go http://www.southparkstudios.com/full-episodes/s10e12-go-god-...