4 ms·
103 for the libdems! that's one of the funniests things i've seen for ages. how did he get it so wrong?
by Graham24 14y ago
103 for the libdems! that's one of the funniests things i've seen for ages.
how did he get it so wrong?
- prof_hobart 14y agoBecause lots of people lie to pollsters or change their mind based on the last thing they read in the paper?
- shardling 14y agoIn reading his analysis of the election here, he repeatedly mentions that having only two candidates makes things much more predictable. In any case, we don't know if he got it "wrong" unless we know what % chance he gave this outcome. (He tries to account for the likelihood that polls are misleadingly biased, and that would correlate across multiple seats.)