Keep in mind, however, that we could not have expected Nate Silver's own model to predict 50/50 states. Given that Nate predicted that there was a 50.3% chance

Keep in mind, however, that we could not have expected Nate Silver's own model to predict 50/50 states. Given that Nate predicted that there was a 50.3% chance that Florida would go to Obama, the only difference between this being a story of predicting 50/50 states and this being a story of missing at least one state is a coin toss. The reasons his model turned out to be 100% accurate is sheer luck.