So is that at all at odds with what I said? I'm saying that I haven't found his predictions to be useful because they have not correctly predicted anything tha

So is that at all at odds with what I said? I'm saying that I haven't found his predictions to be useful because they have not correctly predicted anything that I myself didn't predict with the same information without any statistical analysis. Sure, he predicted it with 3% greater accuracy. So what? Sadly what makes most elections predictable is how shitty the candidates are on one side. To be fair I don't think that a statistical analysis will ever be useful in an election unless the election is absolutely a dead heat. Most elections for the past several years (with the obvious exception of 2000) have been fairly predictable from the outset.