> The "statistics" are based on nothing but polls, all with margins of errors and varied methodology. Sure, but if the methodology is standard and the poll sho

> The "statistics" are based on nothing but polls, all with margins of errors and varied methodology. Sure, but if the methodology is standard and the poll shows 60%/40% with a 3% margin of error, you can safely bet money on the outcome. Statistics works just as well for casinos; they may lose in the long run, but they almost certainly won't. > "Likely voters" is a very subjective term and thus a difficult thing to quantify. Stats can be used to determine the likelihood that those being polled will actually vote.