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Nate Silver wrote a great article in 2010 about why the notion of exit polling itself has a lot of fundamental problems[1]-- among them, the fact that it is ext
by icarus_drowning 14y ago
Nate Silver wrote a great article in 2010 about why the notion of exit polling itself has a lot of fundamental problems[1]-- among them, the fact that it is extraordinarily difficult to get an truly random sample.
[1]http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/ten-reasons-why-you-should-ignore-exit.html http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/ten-reasons-why-you-s...
- btilly 14y agoNone of which is news. Still the national media had faced those issues and successfully did it for decades. Then their polls stopped working in 2000. Why?
- icarus_drowning 14y agoIf you read the article, there are several instances of the same problems causing very large errors in elections prior to 2000, for example, several miscalled states for Clinton in previous elections. To claim that these polls "suddenly" stopped working is demonstrably false.