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The IRGC is fighting for survival, most Iranian want them gone, and Iran will be better as a whole if the IRGC is all dead. Don't try to conflate the government
by anvuong 7mo ago
The IRGC is fighting for survival, most Iranian want them gone, and Iran will be better as a whole if the IRGC is all dead. Don't try to conflate the government with the country, they don't always align.
- spaghetdefects 7mo agoMost Iranians do not want the IRGC gone, that's US/Israeli propaganda. Thousands of people have been marching in support of the IRGC. Common sense would also tell you that Iranians aren't going to support the people bombing their schools.
- cardanome 7mo agoMany people that protested against the government in January are now marching in support of the Islamic Republic and demand that the imperialists are punished. Most of them have protested for economic reasons, they don't want to see their country destroyed and their children murdered by bombs. Iran is more united than ever because of the imperialist war. That is what you get when you turn state leaders into martyrs.
- watwut 7mo agoThat sounds made up. Marches largely stopped after bombings, no one marches for IRGC - not even supporters. And there is no way for anyone to know what Iranians actually think now. No one does the polls there now.
- cardanome 7mo agoThere is massive video evidence: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5TOcnVe86Vo https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5TOcnVe86Vo There are massive protests in favor of the Republic every day. You can not deny the evidence.
- JumpCrisscross 7mo ago> no one marches for IRGC - not even supporters IRGC has a lot of support. We tend to think of educated Iranians from abroad. But they have their share of religious nutters.
- kelipso 7mo agoMore like normal people who don’t want their country razed by outside forces.
- JumpCrisscross 7mo ago> normal people who don’t want their country razed by outside forces They’re being razed by domestic forces. Think of every Redditor who wants to see revolution.
- jacquesm 7mo agoThere are plenty of educated Iranians within Iran. What's with the structural under-estimation of countries that are not quite like the West? Seriously, Iran has - especially given the sanctions they've been under - consistently outperformed everybody's expectations in terms of capabilities. Assuming they will get their coveted atomic weapon (and there are several paths to that, which I hope they will not be able to complete) we're in for a world of trouble because the only thing that kept Iran contained so far was the thought that maybe if they played ball they would be left to keep on meddling without there being an outright war. Now that is no longer an option, so their resolve to get that weapon will be ten fold what it was three weeks ago. You underestimate your foes at your peril, do not underestimate Iran or the Iranian people, they had an advanced culture when the West did not even exist. The fact that they're stuck in religion is the main item that is holding them back from really taking over the region. But there are plenty of countries in the West that have a bit of a religious problem so even on that front you can't point fingers.
- sofixa 7mo ago> Iran will be better as a whole if the IRGC is all dead Which is an impossibility. We're talking about a military force of more than a million religiously fervent men that have martyrdom as a core tenet of their religion. They are not going anywhere, and assasinating their leaders and bombing their bases will not make them easier to enforce anything on.
- jacquesm 7mo agoThe opposite: Trump and Netanyahu have just proven to the bulk of the Iranians that the mullahs were right all along. They have helped IRGC more than they've hurt them by taking out their leadership. The mistake here is to think that the IRGC is structured along the lines of NATO or something like that. It really isn't. It's more like a 'instant guerilla mix' where all you have to do is add some water and stir it up. They learned a lot of lessons from looking at Iraq and the fact that their command structure is still in place should tell you something.
- swat535 7mo agoThis is simply not true. I'm Iranian and I wish it were but IRGC has more support than you think. There is at least 30-40% of the population who support it and within those, more than half will gladly die for the regime. My home country has more than 90M people and 40% of that equates for millions of supporters. From the outside, you are only hearing the diaspora talking points, which don't realistically represent Iran. Many of them have grievances with the regime, or have been exiled after the Shah. Iran is a complex country and it's hard for outsiders to grasp it, mainly because the censorship happening on both sides. I personally think this war was a major mistake, no Iranian is going to cheer for US or Israel after watching their children being killed by them. The west was doing a good job exporting liberal ideas to Iran slowly over the past 3 decades. Some of those were starting to drip into the country, but this war undid all that effort.
- srean 7mo agoIf anything, the attack on Iran has increased their support. US and Israel don't give two fucks for the people of Iran. If they did they wouldn't have been under such crippling sanctions. Irani people want to control their own destiny, not as a vassal of US-Israel backed power. Iran's best bet I think is to negotiate with the IRGC to earn reforms. I suspect that if IRGC doesn't feel so threatened they might even get them. There's a lot of commentary here along the lines that Iran is now a threat to Europe. Yes the capability might exist but it is not in Iran's interest and have never shown such interest or ambition. India certainly has missiles that can reach parts of Europe, capability does not signal intent. US and UK have screwed the relation up by organising coup, scuttling democratic processes, downing domestic passenger jet without apology, setting Saddam Hussein and his chemical weapons at them and the economically ravaging them with sanctions. As for nukes, with Israel and undeclared nuclear power right next door, it's a very reasonable ask for any country that wants to control its own destiny. In fact had it had one, the current conflict would not have happened.
- CamperBob2 7mo agoThere is at least 30-40% of the population who support it and within those, more than half will gladly die for the regime. Sobering, and (speaking as an American) all too familiar here at home. Cults suck.
- Devasta 7mo agoYou are absolutely deluded if you think the removal of the IRGC will result in any improvement in the situation of the Iranian people. The US and Israel want to bomb he place into a lawless wasteland, even if a secular democracy was to arise it would make no difference.
- chasd00 7mo agoIt’s trivial for either the US or Israel to do that with one phone call (completely destroy infrastructure on kharg island and the gas fields, this yields an Iranian failed state). The fact it hasn’t happened proves you wrong.
- jacquesm 7mo agoThe only reason that has not happened is because the West needs that oil to flow.
- rasz 7mo agoHey, I heard that exact argument many times before used when talking about pre 2024 Syria.
- jacquesm 7mo agoThe IRGC has more support in Iran than the Republicans do in the United States, just to give you one datapoint to contemplate.