4 ms·
I'm not a gambler, but there should be a thing on those gambling sites on whether this is about extraterrestrial life or mexicans
by pluc 7mo ago
I'm not a gambler, but there should be a thing on those gambling sites on whether this is about extraterrestrial life or mexicans
- koolba 7mo agoWho said it’s a binary choice? Could have extraterrestrials taking advantage of our weak southern border to enter the country.
- messe 7mo agoThey're eating the cats![0] [0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ALF_(TV_series) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ALF_(TV_series)
- dogma1138 7mo agoThey also are eating stars apparently.
- tokai 7mo agoEven better, then noone will be payed out.
- ahmahxee 7mo ago> Who said it’s a binary choice? Have you not been paying attention to this administration?
- Void_ 7mo agoAccording to Polymarket, there's a 16% chance US will confirm aliens exist: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027 https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens...
- kevmo314 7mo agoSomeone with the ability to register .gov domains is trying to make a sneaky buck.
- rationalist 7mo agoIt used to be anyone with a fax machine could register any .gov but they fixed that when there was a news report about it.
- afn 7mo agoI was curious about this, so for anyone else who’s interested, here’s a KrebsOnSecurity article from 2019 about how easy it was to fraudulently register a .gov domain: https://krebsonsecurity.com/2019/11/its-way-too-easy-to-get-a-gov-domain-name/ https://krebsonsecurity.com/2019/11/its-way-too-easy-to-get-... I haven’t seen any follow-up reporting, but it looks like the process now requires some semblance of identity verification: https://get.gov/domains/before/ https://get.gov/domains/before/
- Insanity 7mo agoThat's just gambling without any basis for reality though. Not sure if you're actually attributing any weight to random gamblers lol.
- kibwen 7mo agoWe know for a fact that the US government has no evidence of aliens existing, because there's a 0% chance Trump wouldn't have blabbed about it during his first term.
- pdimitar 7mo agoI mean, fair, but who says he'll be appraised and knowing about it at all?
- nxobject 7mo agoAh, the wisdom of the crowds (of gamblers.)
- wavemode 7mo agoTaking the opposite side of this bet feels like a free 19% return on your money.
- A1kmm 7mo agoIt's based on what Donald Trump (or any other US president, should it come to that) says, not on any evidence or ground truth beyond that. The are motives for lying on this - for a start, if a president knows definitively they're going to say it, it's a free 81% return. Secondly, it's a pretty big dead cat to throw on the table to distract from any scandal and/or to keep themselves in the news cycle on a different topic.
- barchar 7mo agoIt's because of the time value of money. Buying no is much like buying a bond. It doesn't mean there's a 16% chance. It's probably more attractive to gamblers when presented like this.
- jjmarr 7mo agoIf it was about extraterrestrial life, there would be a massive insider trade and Polymarket would've climbed. It's been static for the past day. https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027 https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens...
- crumpled 7mo agoet.aliens.gov, mexicans.aliens.gov It can do it all!
- benmanns 7mo agoAsk and ye shall receive: https://manifold.markets/benmanns/aliensgov-prop-bets https://manifold.markets/benmanns/aliensgov-prop-bets (play money). I set this up so multiple can resolve and other users can add additional speculations.
- chatmasta 7mo agoWho do you think built Chicken Itza?!
- Insanity 7mo agoThis gave me a good laugh. I think you got auto-corrected from 'Chichén Itzá', to 'Chicken'.
- Ccecil 7mo agoIf you go to the other sites down there (like Tulum) very often you will hear the vendors talk trash about Chichen Itza calling it "Chicken Pizza".
- Insanity 7mo agoDidn't pick up on that when I was there. But I'll say that Chichen is definitely worth a visit and only about a 2h drive from Cancun! You can do a tour with a group like Xcaret so you don't even have to drive there yourself.
- deleted 7mo ago[deleted]
- chatmasta 7mo agoYeah… yeah… that’s totally what happened :)