1. That is not how prediction market calibration plots work! Calibration is measured across the range of markets with different forecasted odds. https://calibr

1. That is not how prediction market calibration plots work! Calibration is measured across the range of markets with different forecasted odds. https://calibration.city/introduction https://calibration.city/introduction https://manifold.markets/calibration https://manifold.markets/calibration 2. That is just obviously not all these markets are doing. They're aligning incentives and aggregating information in the same way other markets do.