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Do you have a positive defense of betting markets? You're spraying defensive whataboutism all over this thread and lowering the discourse. > Prediction Markets

by mpalmer 7mo ago

Do you have a positive defense of betting markets? You're spraying defensive whataboutism all over this thread and lowering the discourse. > Prediction Markets you don't have to participate, so no harm done. Harm: https://www.npr.org/2025/11/13/nx-s1-5605561/college-athletes-struggle-with-personal-attacks-on-social-media https://www.npr.org/2025/11/13/nx-s1-5605561/college-athlete... Harm: https://militarnyi.com/en/news/in-november-an-isw-analyst-manipulated-the-situation-in-myrnohrad-to-rig-map-bets/ https://militarnyi.com/en/news/in-november-an-isw-analyst-ma... Harm: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/05/prediction-markets-merkley-ban-iran.html https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/05/prediction-markets-merkley-b...

colesantiago 7mo ago
Why did you send in an article that was completely irrelevant that has nothing to do with prediction markets? What you're showing me is a death threat, which has existed for time in humans. Betting markets of all kinds have existed for a long time and haven't been banned. Banning on particular betting market prediction markets altogether and pushing it underground would make things far worse.
- zbentley 7mo ago
  Many kinds of betting markets are or were banned all over the world. The sky didn’t fall, and what underground markets existed didn’t lead to huge gang wars or whatever. Given that the article is discussing some of the bad behavior typically associated with dark markets (death threats, extortion, fixing) happening in the light, what makes you think that banning them would make things worse?
- mpalmer 7mo ago
  What you're showing me is a [war crime], which has existed for time in humans. [Wars] of all kinds have existed for a long time and haven't been banned. Banning on [particular tactics in war] altogether and pushing it underground would make things far worse. Do you see the problem with your logic?
  - colesantiago 7mo ago
    All you're showing are death threats that humans have made. This has happened for all of time, prediction markets or not. There is a difference. Where is the particular and specific assassination market that says: "Date on which this journalist will die"?
    - mpalmer 7mo ago
      Sorry you are clearly not engaging in good faith, I'm done
      - colesantiago 7mo ago
        You didn't answer my question. Possibly because you're too emotional and raging everywhere and not stopping to think what happens when you think the answer to everything is a complete ban. I'm not the one apologising for my position, you're not completely rational at all since you don't think about the second order effects.

by mpalmer 7mo ago

colesantiago 7mo ago

Why did you send in an article that was completely irrelevant that has nothing to do with prediction markets? What you're showing me is a death threat, which has existed for time in humans. Betting markets of all kinds have existed for a long time and haven't been banned. Banning on particular betting market prediction markets altogether and pushing it underground would make things far worse.

zbentley 7mo ago
Many kinds of betting markets are or were banned all over the world. The sky didn’t fall, and what underground markets existed didn’t lead to huge gang wars or whatever. Given that the article is discussing some of the bad behavior typically associated with dark markets (death threats, extortion, fixing) happening in the light, what makes you think that banning them would make things worse?
mpalmer 7mo ago
What you're showing me is a [war crime], which has existed for time in humans. [Wars] of all kinds have existed for a long time and haven't been banned. Banning on [particular tactics in war] altogether and pushing it underground would make things far worse. Do you see the problem with your logic?
- colesantiago 7mo ago
  All you're showing are death threats that humans have made. This has happened for all of time, prediction markets or not. There is a difference. Where is the particular and specific assassination market that says: "Date on which this journalist will die"?
  - mpalmer 7mo ago
    Sorry you are clearly not engaging in good faith, I'm done
    - colesantiago 7mo ago
      You didn't answer my question. Possibly because you're too emotional and raging everywhere and not stopping to think what happens when you think the answer to everything is a complete ban. I'm not the one apologising for my position, you're not completely rational at all since you don't think about the second order effects.