Electoral-Vote.com used a much simpler method (averaging polls) and got 48 out of 50 states right. EV.com had Missouri as a tie (McCain ultimately won by 0.1%,

Electoral-Vote.com used a much simpler method (averaging polls) and got 48 out of 50 states right. EV.com had Missouri as a tie (McCain ultimately won by 0.1%, 538 got the state right) and had Indiana wrong (as did 538).