3 ms·
What you just posted is misleading. Silver's model gave the GOP a 2 in 3 chance of winning the House in 2010, predicting a net gain of 45-50 House seats, and th
by jfc 14y ago
What you just posted is misleading. Silver's model gave the GOP a 2 in 3 chance of winning the House in 2010, predicting a net gain of 45-50 House seats, and the majority - http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/09/10/g-o-p-has-2-in-3-chance-of-taking-house-model-forecasts/ http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/09/10/g-o-p-ha...
- andrewljohnson 14y agoAlso, his modeling is MUCH more accurate for presidential races, where there is more polling data, and thus a lower sampling error.