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I can give you another reason with a much bigger population base. You have a candidate you are backing, with your time and/or money. But you are not made of
by nmcfarl 14y ago
I can give you another reason with a much bigger population base.
You have a candidate you are backing, with your time and/or money. But you are not made of time and money. What are you doing this weekend, working in the yard, or at the phone-bank? Signing checks to your candidate, or putting that money back into your business? Predictions help a lot here - they're useful for time and money allocations other than just at the "high-level campaign manager" level.
- tspike 14y agoSounds like a self-fulfilling prophecy to me. I agree that disinterested parties have a lot to gain from a probabilistic analysis, but someone who's working at the phone bank likely cares deeply about the cause and is convinced that their efforts can make a difference. At a macro scale, they do make a difference. It's precisely those kinds of actions which shift the overall probabilities regarding the outcome.