This is a good indicator of Obama's chances: http://election.princeton.edu/history-of-electoral-votes-for-obama/ http://election.princeton.edu/history-of-electo

This is a good indicator of Obama's chances: http://election.princeton.edu/history-of-electoral-votes-for-obama/ http://election.princeton.edu/history-of-electoral-votes-for.... Barring external events, you can probably put a fork in it.