5 ms·

"Within 20 years 99% of the military will be AIs" That smells like such a baseless speculation that from the get go I'm not convinced of the author's rigor.

empath75 7mo ago
It’s also just a category error. It’s like saying that 99% of farm workers are tractors or 99% of textile workers are looms.
- dcre 7mo ago
  Do you not think a change in knowledge work similar in scale to the industrialization of agriculture would be significant?
  - simgt 7mo ago
    Why are you trying to change the meaning of their comment?
    - dcre 7mo ago
      They are changing the meaning of the original text. It does not say “workers.”
      - empath75 7mo ago
        It says "workforce": workforce (noun): the _people_ engaged in or available for work, either in a country or area or in a particular company or industry. Machinery is not part of the "workforce".
- aspenmayer 7mo ago
  To be fair, we don’t have many government mules these days, but it wasn’t always so, and not so long ago. The current amount of horsepower on the hoof is a rounding error, but before mechanized farming and war-fighting, these distinctions were the difference. If we consider the capacity of technology to act as a force multiplier, it is reasonable to assume that current and future AI-assisted fighting forces can achieve more with less traditional materiel and with fewer personnel. Drones are an especially likely way that these many AIs will become embodied and diversify, in which case I don’t think the percentages are so far-fetched. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62662gzlp8o https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62662gzlp8o > Further ahead in the future, it wants its machines to be programmed to travel autonomously to a location, carry out its task - such as watching out for advancing enemy soldiers and engaging them if necessary - and then return to base after a certain time.
x0x0 7mo ago
It's just... immensely self-aggrandizing nonsense. The subhed > “Preface to the highest stakes negotiations in history.” Like come on. The cuban missile crisis, for starters? Bro needs to calm tf down.
nitwit005 7mo ago
I went a bit further and then gave up on the piece. Unfortunate, as the premise seemed interesting.

empath75 7mo ago

It’s also just a category error. It’s like saying that 99% of farm workers are tractors or 99% of textile workers are looms.

dcre 7mo ago
Do you not think a change in knowledge work similar in scale to the industrialization of agriculture would be significant?
- simgt 7mo ago
  Why are you trying to change the meaning of their comment?
  - dcre 7mo ago
    They are changing the meaning of the original text. It does not say “workers.”
    - empath75 7mo ago
      It says "workforce": workforce (noun): the _people_ engaged in or available for work, either in a country or area or in a particular company or industry. Machinery is not part of the "workforce".
aspenmayer 7mo ago
To be fair, we don’t have many government mules these days, but it wasn’t always so, and not so long ago. The current amount of horsepower on the hoof is a rounding error, but before mechanized farming and war-fighting, these distinctions were the difference. If we consider the capacity of technology to act as a force multiplier, it is reasonable to assume that current and future AI-assisted fighting forces can achieve more with less traditional materiel and with fewer personnel. Drones are an especially likely way that these many AIs will become embodied and diversify, in which case I don’t think the percentages are so far-fetched. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62662gzlp8o https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62662gzlp8o > Further ahead in the future, it wants its machines to be programmed to travel autonomously to a location, carry out its task - such as watching out for advancing enemy soldiers and engaging them if necessary - and then return to base after a certain time.

x0x0 7mo ago

It's just... immensely self-aggrandizing nonsense. The subhed > “Preface to the highest stakes negotiations in history.” Like come on. The cuban missile crisis, for starters? Bro needs to calm tf down.

nitwit005 7mo ago

I went a bit further and then gave up on the piece. Unfortunate, as the premise seemed interesting.