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> The most compelling hypothesis I've heard for why Iran is bombing GC neighbors is in an attempt to pop the AI bubble Huh?!? ADIA, Mubadala, and the PIF are s

> The most compelling hypothesis I've heard for why Iran is bombing GC neighbors is in an attempt to pop the AI bubble Huh?!? ADIA, Mubadala, and the PIF are significant players but not that significant. The Gulf States and Iran have had bad blood for generations. There's a reason why car bombings in Al Ahvaz and Sistan-ve-Balochistan were and are respectively a constant occurrence - Khuzestani Arabs and especially Baloch from Makran are overrepresented in defense and policy roles in Gulf states like Kuwait, Qatar, UAE (especially Abu Dhabi), and Oman. And Iran and the Gulf States (and before that the British Empire) constantly fought each other over delineating the Arabian/Persian Gulf. It was a major reason the Gulf turned to the US when facing both Iraq and Iran in the 1970s-80s. I'm dismayed how conspiracy pilled HN has become.

_heimdall 8mo ago
What makes you think JM conspiracy pilled? And how would you propose one tries to understand Iran's current motivations with regards to attacking gulf neighbors? I explicitly didn't say the idea of them attempting to preempt an AI bubble pop is the reason. I explicitly said I don't know if its true. Yes, there is a long history of bad blood between Sunni and Shiite Muslims. Yes the region is a powderkeg. No, trying to understand the motivations today isn't immediately a conspiracy theory.
- alephnerd 8mo ago
  > I explicitly didn't say the idea of them attempting to preempt an AI bubble pop is the reason. I explicitly said I don't know if its true Ah. Well in that case, the answer is "no, AI is not the reason". > how would you propose one tries to understand Iran's current motivations with regards to attacking gulf neighbors 1. The Gulf States host Western (not just American) bases so from a tactical perspective it would be dumb not to strike Gulf States. 2. The Gulf States and the Islamic Republic have had decades of bad blood, from the Syrian, Libyan, Yemeni, and Sudanese Civil War to inciting a Shia insurgency in Eastern Saudi and Bahrain to the repression of Sunnis in Iran to disputes over NatGas extraction to attempts by the Iranian government to overthrow Gulf governments. 3. The Gulf States backed Saddam Hussein during the Iran-Iraq War which lasted from 1980 to 1988 and a war which all of Iran's leadership are veterans of. Iran openly fielded child soldiers towards the end of the war, many of whom ended up becoming leadership - while most HNers (who based on references I've seen seem to have been more in the late 70s/early 80s) were playing NESes or watching Hanna Barbera reruns, a large number of your age cohort in Iran were choking on Sarin Gas or sent in human waves against the Iraqi Army, and those survivors are who are the older members and leaders of the IRGC, Basij, and Iran today. 4. The KSA lobbied to strike Iran [2] along with Israel. A Gulf-Iran War was a question of "when" not "if". Plenty of Gulf nationals fought against IRGC trained or actual personnel in Syria, Libya, and Yemen, and the animosity against Iran and Iranian proxies is deep in the Gulf. Similarly, the animosity against Arabs and Sunni Arab States is deep as well. Heck, this is how Iran and Iranian proxies are depicted in young adult cartoons in Saudi Arabia [0][1] - as terrorists and a depressive death cult obsessed with martyrdom, Ali, and Huseyn. [0] - https://youtu.be/ifwtsnQxmto?si=GS21LjeMXiSC-4me&t=767 https://youtu.be/ifwtsnQxmto?si=GS21LjeMXiSC-4me&t=767 [1] - https://youtu.be/_SHYKBD8w8Q?si=EOa-y8UL2FDf6yeR&t=1905 https://youtu.be/_SHYKBD8w8Q?si=EOa-y8UL2FDf6yeR&t=1905 [2] - https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/02/28/trump-iran-decision-saudi-arabia-israel/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/02/28/trump-ira...

_heimdall 8mo ago

What makes you think JM conspiracy pilled? And how would you propose one tries to understand Iran's current motivations with regards to attacking gulf neighbors? I explicitly didn't say the idea of them attempting to preempt an AI bubble pop is the reason. I explicitly said I don't know if its true. Yes, there is a long history of bad blood between Sunni and Shiite Muslims. Yes the region is a powderkeg. No, trying to understand the motivations today isn't immediately a conspiracy theory.

alephnerd 8mo ago
> I explicitly didn't say the idea of them attempting to preempt an AI bubble pop is the reason. I explicitly said I don't know if its true Ah. Well in that case, the answer is "no, AI is not the reason". > how would you propose one tries to understand Iran's current motivations with regards to attacking gulf neighbors 1. The Gulf States host Western (not just American) bases so from a tactical perspective it would be dumb not to strike Gulf States. 2. The Gulf States and the Islamic Republic have had decades of bad blood, from the Syrian, Libyan, Yemeni, and Sudanese Civil War to inciting a Shia insurgency in Eastern Saudi and Bahrain to the repression of Sunnis in Iran to disputes over NatGas extraction to attempts by the Iranian government to overthrow Gulf governments. 3. The Gulf States backed Saddam Hussein during the Iran-Iraq War which lasted from 1980 to 1988 and a war which all of Iran's leadership are veterans of. Iran openly fielded child soldiers towards the end of the war, many of whom ended up becoming leadership - while most HNers (who based on references I've seen seem to have been more in the late 70s/early 80s) were playing NESes or watching Hanna Barbera reruns, a large number of your age cohort in Iran were choking on Sarin Gas or sent in human waves against the Iraqi Army, and those survivors are who are the older members and leaders of the IRGC, Basij, and Iran today. 4. The KSA lobbied to strike Iran [2] along with Israel. A Gulf-Iran War was a question of "when" not "if". Plenty of Gulf nationals fought against IRGC trained or actual personnel in Syria, Libya, and Yemen, and the animosity against Iran and Iranian proxies is deep in the Gulf. Similarly, the animosity against Arabs and Sunni Arab States is deep as well. Heck, this is how Iran and Iranian proxies are depicted in young adult cartoons in Saudi Arabia [0][1] - as terrorists and a depressive death cult obsessed with martyrdom, Ali, and Huseyn. [0] - https://youtu.be/ifwtsnQxmto?si=GS21LjeMXiSC-4me&t=767 https://youtu.be/ifwtsnQxmto?si=GS21LjeMXiSC-4me&t=767 [1] - https://youtu.be/_SHYKBD8w8Q?si=EOa-y8UL2FDf6yeR&t=1905 https://youtu.be/_SHYKBD8w8Q?si=EOa-y8UL2FDf6yeR&t=1905 [2] - https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/02/28/trump-iran-decision-saudi-arabia-israel/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/02/28/trump-ira...