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Everyone is holding their breath praying AGI either will, or will not, come before the chickens come home to roost.
by Ancalagon 7mo ago
Everyone is holding their breath praying AGI either will, or will not, come before the chickens come home to roost.
- dboreham 7mo agoNot sure that makes sense. As amazing a technical feat as AGI will be, does it follow that s.tons of money will immediately be made? That's not really how humans act, historically. Any migration to new technology takes years, decades. There are still steam engines pulling revenue service trains.
- Ancalagon 7mo agoYes - if AGI is made, nearly immediately every knowledge worker’s labor value goes to zero over night. This may or may not include AI researchers.
- fileeditview 7mo agoYou are assuming that the AGI service is very cheap..
- bluefirebrand 7mo agoAnd probably not much longer after that, the bloodshed
- Ancalagon 7mo agoUnless the benefits of AI get communalized (UBI, or some other form of sharing), ya.
- joquarky 7mo agoHow would that work? Taxes are already full of perverse incentives. Certainly anything resembling UBI will be just as bad.
- Ancalagon 7mo agoYou’re not wrong - I was just giving that as an example but not saying it’s the right thing to do.
- bluefirebrand 7mo agoI don't think there is any compelling reason to believe this will actually happen
- delusional 7mo agoThat seems like a wrong economic theory to me. The economy is based on differential of value. I can make furniture, so it's worth less to me than it is to you. Therefore we can trade. That's what supply/demand is. If AGI somehow exists, then the value of intelligence drops to zero for both of us, there's nothing to trade. AGI would not make knowledge work valueless, it would move all the knowledge work value to the AGI companies.
- hackable_sand 7mo agoCan you guys just say the quiet part out loud? That you want slaves. You want slaves. This is what you are asking for. Unless you're paying the AGI? Then why not just... pay a human that is already present? Much more efficient.
- Ancalagon 7mo agoNot sure if you’re insinuating that I’m one of the capitalists? I’m not, that’s why I’m saying it out loud. I believe capitalism’s relationship with labor will need to fundamentally change if AGI and robotics takeover. I don’t know what that looks like but obviously the current capitalist overlords want everything to stay the same - just for them to have more power/money.
- energy123 7mo agoIt will drive capital into data centers, which is good for Oracle.
- rando77 7mo agoOr maybe it won't. If it can be made efficient like humans it might be at the edge mainly.
- hackable_sand 7mo agoWhat is this "everyone" running from?
- Ancalagon 7mo agoCollapse of return on investment