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Right, the probability pre-attack never broke even 30%, which was basically in line with the most prominent opinions. The market consensus had been for a long
by zozbot234 8mo ago
Right, the probability pre-attack never broke even 30%, which was basically in line with the most prominent opinions. The market consensus had been for a long time that there would be an attack by this summer or the end of the year, but probably not near-term. There will always be some bull traders who buy just before a big move in the market, that's no proof of insider trading.
- tasuki 8mo ago> that's no proof of insider trading. It isn't. But also the whole point of prediction markets is to allow insiders to profit in return for providing valuable information.