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The part people miss about these 'insider' Polymarket trades is how little capital it actually takes to make these kinds of returns on binary contracts. On most
by sharp_runner_84 7mo ago
The part people miss about these 'insider' Polymarket trades is how little capital it actually takes to make these kinds of returns on binary contracts. On most non-headline events the orderbook has maybe 5-10k of depth at the top of book. A new account dropping 50k into a 5-cent yes contract right before news breaks isn't sophisticated -- it's someone with information and a Metamask wallet. The CLOB structure makes it trivially easy to trace these wallets on-chain though, which is arguably better transparency than you'd get in trad finance.