I'm not putting my money in these markets for many reasons, ethical objections being one of them. Why'd I buy specifically "No" shares though? From my non-insid

I'm not putting my money in these markets for many reasons, ethical objections being one of them. Why'd I buy specifically "No" shares though? From my non-insider POV it's just a bet on the honesty of the judge, mixed with the actual facts of the case. What's the incentive of betting if you're not an insider? You're better off putting you money on a fair coin toss, instead of hoping you'll somehow beat an openly rigged market. How much have you yourself made in these sorts of markets?