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Regardless of how it ends, and it can go both ways, we're witnessing history here. This feels like a much bigger development than Russia-Ukraine. Iran is a majo
by TheAlchemist 7mo ago
Regardless of how it ends, and it can go both ways, we're witnessing history here. This feels like a much bigger development than Russia-Ukraine. Iran is a major partner for Russia and China, mostly for military technology and oil. Hope it's not a start of WW3.
- waihtis 7mo agoPutin said it himself, there are over 2 million russians in Israel - they will not participate
- quotz 7mo agothats definitely not the reason they wont participate. Its just a public excuse
- null_deref 7mo agoRussian Speakers* a lot of them are from previous Soviet republics like Georgia, Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, Belarus and Ukraine
- pseingatl 7mo agoIn Georgia, they speak Georgian. Azerbaijani is a Turkic language.
- null_deref 7mo agoI don’t dispute that fact, but the Jews that have immigrated from there have grew up in the Soviet Union and in the Soviet education system, and therefore speak Russian Additional context: the comment above me stated 2m people have emigrated from Russia to Israel it’s more correct to say that they have emigrated from the Soviet Union
- deleted 7mo ago[deleted]
- kdheiwns 7mo agoI have to wonder how many are in governmental roles and realized they can steer the US into conflicts and ruining itself without any of those involved identifying as Russian. It's the cleanest backdoor for espionage that there ever was.
- waihtis 7mo ago"russia controlling the us" is such a 2015 narrative, you ought to update your positioning..
- bawolff 7mo agoOtoh, what russia desperately needs in the short term is oil prices to go up, so there is probably a major silver lining for them.
- sekai 7mo ago> Otoh, what russia desperately needs in the short term is oil prices to go up, so there is probably a major silver lining for them. And they will again appear weak and incapable, unable to help their allies
- null_deref 7mo agoIsn’t this a fact set in stone by now? Armenia, Syria, Iran in the previous months
- dragonwriter 7mo ago> And they will again appear weak and incapable, unable to help their allies Iran and Russia have various partnership agreements, but are not allies. And Russia has already demonstrated that it doesn't support what are, on paper, close allies in the CSTO, so not defending a non-ally strategic partner really doesn't move the needle on their credibility.
- dzhiurgis 7mo agoIran’s oil is sanctioned hence not on public market. Does it really have much influence?
- seydor 7mo agoCould be more of an intimidation tactic. The United States of Israel wouldnt go to a land war in Iran, that's unwinnable
- AlecSchueler 7mo agoThis is about Iran, not Iraq.
- haspok 7mo ago[flagged]
- spwa4 7mo agoUh, Iran is involved in the Ukraine war, and this even goes so far that Ukraine has attacked Iranian shipping in the Caspian sea. https://www.lloydslist.com/LL1154545/Ukraine-strikes-cargoship-it-claims-was-laden-with-Iranian-weapons https://www.lloydslist.com/LL1154545/Ukraine-strikes-cargosh... (not just once)
- haspok 7mo agoSo? Iran's involvement in the Ukrainian conflict is mostly business-like, it didn't even send troops (unlike North Korea, for example). I don't see these two conflicts merging to a WW3, if that is what you were implying. Unless Russia gives some nukes to Iran, which again I somehow don't see happening.
- spwa4 7mo ago> Unless Russia gives some nukes to Iran, which again I somehow don't see happening. That's one thing that's scary about Iran. ayatollahs with nukes are unacceptable ... even in Putin's assessment.
- dash2 7mo agoDepends how you count “big”. Russia-Ukraine has had about 1 million deaths, and has completely changed how Europe thinks about security- it’s hardly a sideshow. Then again, not much territory has changed hands and there has been no regime change yet.
- tromp 7mo ago> not much territory has changed hands Russia occupies about 20% of Ukraine, an area three times larger than the country I live in (the Netherlands).
- antonkochubey 7mo agoMajority of that is since 2014, gains since 2022 are way lower
- adamors 7mo agoNot true, prior to 2022 February Russia controlled small parts of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts, now they control them almost entirely, as well as good chunks of Zaporizhzhia and Kherson oblasts. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/24/mapping-russian-attacks-and-territorial-gains-across-ukraine https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/24/mapping-russian-att... https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-february-24-2026/ https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian...
- wiseowise 7mo agoAll were captured during their thrift store blitzkrieg. Kherson, Zaporizhzhia and Mariupol were captured because pro Russian rats sabotaged mine defenses in Kherson oblast.
- jiggawatts 7mo agoOne million casualties is injured, missing, and dead… not just the dead.
- 7mo ago
- pjc50 7mo agoThere's no land campaign. It's an isolated series of strikes for PR reasons and wishful thinking about Iran collapse.
- bambax 7mo agoWhat happens when Iran responds by firing missiles on Israel or on a US ship and inflicts major casualties on either targets, though?
- Etheryte 7mo agoRussia and Ukraine are now at war for the fifth year running, you're just used to the fact that there is ongoing war in Europe.
- dgxyz 7mo agoI don't think it's bigger than Russia-Ukraine - it's part of it. This is all about destabilising Iran's incumbent government, which is probably a good thing at the moment. It'll damage supply lines to Russia's Ukraine offensive, give the chance for Iranian citizens to rise up against Khamenei and the IRGC and break the command chain for their foreign proxy operations. Part of Dugan's work on geopolitics, which they seem to be following to the word (c'mon guys seriously?) suggests that Moscow and Tehran should be allied which they are behind the scenes. As for the nuclear threat, literally Iran said it was going to destroy Israel to the point it had a massive countdown clock in Tehran until Israel blew it up, so meh. If I was on the receiving end of that threat I'd make it a policy to respond to it, escalation or not. I make no claims of the accuracy of the threats past IAEA being unable to verify they aren't enriching stuff. Doubt it'll escalate into WW3. The only other powers involved are Russia, who are totally hands tied with Ukraine if they like it or not and China is only interested keeping what's left in its sphere of influence later through their outreach initiatives. I suspect most Middle Eastern countries will be quite happy about this conflict as they have persistent problems with Iran as well from the Houthis, Hezbollah and tens of other factions. They won't want to say anything though in case their own citizens turn on them. The cringeworthy thing is how the US gov are communicating this and that does the operation a lot of damage. It's really quite terrible. Sounds like it was written by a bunch of 9 year olds after too many sugary drinks. Urgh.
- voidfunc 7mo ago> The cringeworthy thing is how the US gov are communicating this and that does the operation a lot of damage. It's really quite terrible. Sounds like it was written by a bunch of 9 year olds after too many sugary drinks. Urgh. Thats because its not written for you and I. Its written for people who struggle to communicate at an adult level, which is a shockingly large portion of the US.
- dgxyz 7mo agoI don't think that's the case. I think it's some of those people got elected.
- concinds 7mo agoNo it's not. This is an air strike campaign, no boots on the ground. It'll end in two weeks. There is no chance China or Russia get involved, like last time, so "WW3" is completely non-credible.
- AlecSchueler 7mo ago> ...no boots on the ground. It'll end in two weeks Why do we never learn from history?
- HauntingPin 7mo agoYes ... why do we never learn from history? What's with the selective memory? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran%E2%80%93Israel_war https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran%E2%80%93Israel_war The previous campaign lasted a whole 13 days and WW3 didn't start. I'm not sure why anybody thinks it'll be different now or why Russia or China would bother going to war for Iran. That makes zero sense.
- sekai 7mo ago> The previous campaign lasted a whole 13 days and WW3 didn't start. I'm not sure why anybody thinks it'll be different now or why Russia or China would bother going to war for Iran. That makes zero sense. We did not move 1/3 of operational USAF capacity and 33% of our deployable Navy for limited strikes.
- HauntingPin 7mo agoOkay, and where's the army? I'm not sure what you're expecting without boots to put on the ground. Are the pilots gonna be ejecting to go hunt Khamenei? This argument is meaningless. Again, none of this can lead to WW3 and none of this can turn into a protracted war as in Ukraine-Russia. You can stop when you have no idea what you're talking about, you know.
- shakna 7mo ago
- throwaway3060 7mo agoAs big as this is, the Russia-Ukraine war pretty much marked the end of the post-WW2 era and redefined global relations between the powers. In that sense, this is yet another major shift within this new era. But also, the series of events that led to this point does connect to the Russia-Ukraine war, and maybe doesn't happen without it.
- dmos62 7mo ago> This feels like a much bigger development than Russia-Ukraine. Russia-Ukraine war is 1M+ combat casualties deep and is nowhere near finished. You are out of touch.
- bawolff 7mo agoBut russia-ukraine is also a much more contained war between 2 parties that will likely end in a stalemate. The middle east is a much more tangled web of alliances and hatreds, i think the iranian regime falling would have much more harder to predict second order geopolitical effects.
- torlok 7mo agoI hope you're joking. This is such "Ukrainians are just Russians by a different name" logic. China, Belarus, and North Korea are deep in this conflict, so are all the European countries. There's no stalemate end to this war, only a temporary cease fire or the collapse of Russia.
- bojan 7mo ago> But russia-ukraine is also a much more contained war between 2 parties that will likely end in a stalemate. The whole of Europe is affected, it might seem contained only if you live very far away. Every European country is affected in one way or another. It's not a stalemate if Ukraine ends up losing 30% of its territory. That's Russian victory.
- wiseowise 7mo agoUkraine will never de jure give up those territories and majority of nations will never recognize those as part of Russia. And it’s 20%, not 30%. Pre full scale war it was 7%, now it is 19%, so during the five years they’ve captured 12% of Ukraine's territory. Russian goals were: - Quick decapitation - fail - Change of government - fail - Prove that majority of Ukrainians are phone Russians and the moment greater Russia comes everyone will see that Ukraine is not a real state - fail - Make second Belarus out of Ukraine - fail - Stop NATO enlargement, Finland and Sweden joined NATO essentially doubling border with NATO - fail - Dissuade Ukraine from joining EU and make it pro Russian first - fail - Prove that Russia is a great military power on par with US that can topple regimes at will - fail - Make Russia strategically independent- fail, Russia is now completely dependent on China - Destabilize EU - fail, Europe is united like never under US/Russia/China threat This war will enter history as one of the worst blunders.
- Havoc 7mo agoI doubt either of them is keen to enter the fray here. Russia is making shaheeds at home now anyway
- mantas 7mo agoMore like this is a small piece of the puzzle in Russian-Ukraine war. Iran plays quite a big role in supplying Russians. If Iran is taken out, power balance in that war may change too.
- bambax 7mo agoWW3 started with the invasion of Ukraine.