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(Geopolitical) prediction markets almost always tend to overreact. This is expected from retail, so I'm not sure about the signal.
by William_BB 9mo ago
(Geopolitical) prediction markets almost always tend to overreact. This is expected from retail, so I'm not sure about the signal.
- echoangle 9mo agoSo why not just always bet against their reaction? Over time you should make money then, right?