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The Imperial Noble Lie: Translating Thermodynamic Collapse into Geopolitical War
- iamnothere 8mo agoTldr since I’m sure many won’t read it: - The real, fundamental economy has been propped up by shale oil - Shale is running out, energy needs are increasing rapidly - Debt is coming due - Tariffs are an effort to manage the debt situation by creating a Eurodollar vacuum - Politicians and the public don’t really understand this, so the whole thing is going to end up framed as a geopolitical conflict rather than a debt crisis - The framing is dangerous and may create a real kinetic conflict due to misunderstandings at home and abroad As a systems thinker I suspect this is closer to reality than the usual narratives. Historically, most large scale conflicts reduce to resource conflicts, even if they have political or ideological involvement.