3 ms·
Gwern on that smpy site what does the O-like character next to certainty: log mean? I'm viewing on chrome from an Android device. I'm trying to figure out wha
by drited 7mo ago
Gwern on that smpy site what does the O-like character next to certainty: log mean?
I'm viewing on chrome from an Android device.
I'm trying to figure out what your certainty on smpy is.
Also thank you for your site. I read your n back analysis some years ago and found it to be very interesting.
- gwern 7mo agoThe SMPY page is essentially an annotated bibliography: fulltext + abstract + commentary. Since the papers are of highly varied quality, it doesn't much make sense to try to put any particular confidence on it; I am convinced of some things, but definitely not others - particularly the early papers when they had little data and were still experimenting a lot. If I had an essay making a specific claim about SMPY then sure, but I don't really. The fact that 'certainty' ratings don't make sense for pages like that is part of why these days, I wouldn't have a page like that at all. An annotated bibliography is not an 'essay' and shouldn't be shoehorned into my framework meant for that kind of opinionated writing. I realized that if I was going to 'annotate' a paper, I would either have to go without, or copy-paste it all around indefinitely and it'd violate DRY and be a nightmare. Long story short, https://gwern.net/doc/iq/high/smpy/index https://gwern.net/doc/iq/high/smpy/index is closer to what that page should be, but it's a lot of work to sit down and convert the legacy page over to pure annotations, so, it is what it is. Maybe a LLM can do it for me soon - it seems within the ability of Claude Code.