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I don't know if you've heard, but there have been a large number of layoffs in the tech sector recently. Whether they're actually related to AI as executives cl

I don't know if you've heard, but there have been a large number of layoffs in the tech sector recently. Whether they're actually related to AI as executives claim, and not section 174 of the US IRS tax code in the BBB, is known only to them, but if your argument hinges on people having not been fired when there have been layoffs, you may need a different one.

lp4v4n 9mo ago
As you said, it's impossible to determine how many of the current layoffs are caused by AI, they probably also have a lot to do with the broader economic downturn. But you’re still missing the point, if companies truly have a black box that can produce cheap, high‑quality code as the GP put it, why don't they just fire 95% of their developers and keep only a small core of AI orchestrators?
- fragmede 9mo ago
  Who's missing who's point? You're asking why haven't they fired 95% of their people. I'm pointing at tech sector layoffs saying people are being laid off. It's not 95% which is a number you totally made up, but in the broader picture, I wouldn't say it isn't happening.
- fragmede 9mo ago
  Don't look now, but https://x.com/jack/status/2027129697092731343 https://x.com/jack/status/2027129697092731343
AyanamiKaine 9mo ago
I think a major contributor to the layoffs is companies hiring to much people around covid[1]. I cant find good stats for the years 2019-2026 besides looking at now and the past directly. There are some data for the ukranin side djinni[1][2] and for US IT job postings[3]. I dont think AI is the reason for the layoffs. Its just easier to say "because of AI we are firing" than to say "because we overhired and its actually our fault". [1]https://djinni.substack.com/p/2021-in-review https://djinni.substack.com/p/2021-in-review [2]https://blog.djinni.co/post/q1-analytics-en https://blog.djinni.co/post/q1-analytics-en [3]https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE

lp4v4n 9mo ago

As you said, it's impossible to determine how many of the current layoffs are caused by AI, they probably also have a lot to do with the broader economic downturn. But you’re still missing the point, if companies truly have a black box that can produce cheap, high‑quality code as the GP put it, why don't they just fire 95% of their developers and keep only a small core of AI orchestrators?

fragmede 9mo ago
Who's missing who's point? You're asking why haven't they fired 95% of their people. I'm pointing at tech sector layoffs saying people are being laid off. It's not 95% which is a number you totally made up, but in the broader picture, I wouldn't say it isn't happening.
fragmede 9mo ago
Don't look now, but https://x.com/jack/status/2027129697092731343 https://x.com/jack/status/2027129697092731343

AyanamiKaine 9mo ago

I think a major contributor to the layoffs is companies hiring to much people around covid[1]. I cant find good stats for the years 2019-2026 besides looking at now and the past directly. There are some data for the ukranin side djinni[1][2] and for US IT job postings[3]. I dont think AI is the reason for the layoffs. Its just easier to say "because of AI we are firing" than to say "because we overhired and its actually our fault". [1]https://djinni.substack.com/p/2021-in-review https://djinni.substack.com/p/2021-in-review [2]https://blog.djinni.co/post/q1-analytics-en https://blog.djinni.co/post/q1-analytics-en [3]https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE