4 ms·
That's not exactly true, it seems. Forecasts become less accurate the further out you go, unlike coin flips. Weather forecasts are generally accurate about 90%
by trimethylpurine 8mo ago
That's not exactly true, it seems. Forecasts become less accurate the further out you go, unlike coin flips.
Weather forecasts are generally accurate about 90% of the time for a five-day forecast and around 80% for a seven-day forecast. Forecasts beyond ten days are only correct about half the time.
- baueric 8mo agoyou're conflating statistics and trends with discrete predictions
- trimethylpurine 8mo agoWell, I'm not. The previous poster is. I'm more simply pointing out, without using terminology, that we shouldn't.
- triceratops 8mo agoWhy do you pack a light jacket if you go to Tasmania for a week in June, regardless of the forecast?
- InitialLastName 8mo agoWhy might you wear a life jacket on a boat, even though you're 99.9% likely not to have the boat flip over?
- triceratops 8mo agoThere's a difference between being slightly uncomfortable for a week and dying.