3 ms·

Nothing has ever burst when production can't meet demand

joe_mamba 8mo ago
It always bursts when demand stops. Current demand is artificially pumped up and financially unsustainable aka a bubble,
- hiuioejfjkf 8mo ago
  [dead]
  - re-thc 8mo ago
    The free demand is increasing. With price increases hitting the cloud, will there still be demand?
    - hiuioejfjkf 8mo ago
      [dead]
      - alt227 8mo ago
        At this point all the programmers will stop using ai, hence bubble bursting. What is the point of paying $5000/month to keep a job which pays $10000/month?
      - Spivak 8mo ago
        I mean it will be the employers of those programmers and at $5000/dev/month I expect a businesses will start demanding very tangible returns from this spend. And as much as I love the tools I don't think it's generating that much direct business value. It's very obviously not turning $140k devs into $200k devs.
  - mikkupikku 8mo ago
    All exponential growth curves are actually S curves, before the inflection point.
- arisAlexis 8mo ago
  How is it artificially pumped everyone is at capacity, I'm using 2 pro subs per day, all my friends are using this new tech and so on. If you are still writing code you are smoked.
lm28469 8mo ago
The demand being: "trust me bro we will pay you when we're profitable" All it'll take is one company to go bust, oracle for example, for the whole thing to deflate Plus you're factually wrong, it happened for fiber optics and railroads
- joe_mamba 8mo ago
  >All it'll take is one company to go bust, oracle for example, for the whole thing to deflate Provided that of course, the US administration will be incorruptible enough to not bail out these tech companies with taxpayer money when they do eventually fail. But when you see the connection between Larry Ellison and Trump, you realize the whole "free market competition" is a scam for suckers. Always has been, just that now they don't even bother to hide it via some complex facades and shell games to garner a veneer of legitimacy, it's straight up banana republic style of corruption.
  - lm28469 8mo ago
    > Provided that of course, the US administration will be incorruptible enough to not bail out these tech companies with taxpayer money when they do eventually fail. I'd love them to try that because virtually no one on any part of the political spectrum would get behind that besides the most corrupted and soulless ghouls masquerading as politicians
    - GCUMstlyHarmls 8mo ago
      I dunno between following the party king and "we must bail them out to avoid total economic collapse" (real or imagined), I wouldn't be betting against bailouts.
    - lotsofpulp 8mo ago
      I'd love them to try getting caught on audio asking a governor to find votes, and campaign on pardoning people convicted of treason because virtually no one on any part of the political spectrum would get behind that besides the most corrupted and soulless ghouls masquerading as politicians. I could have substituted many other things up there. I was very naive when I thought getting caught on audio talking about grabbing women by the pussy and being able to do whatever you want to them because you’re a celebrity was one of those things too.

It always bursts when demand stops. Current demand is artificially pumped up and financially unsustainable aka a bubble,

hiuioejfjkf 8mo ago
[dead]
- re-thc 8mo ago
  The free demand is increasing. With price increases hitting the cloud, will there still be demand?
  - hiuioejfjkf 8mo ago
    [dead]
    - alt227 8mo ago
      At this point all the programmers will stop using ai, hence bubble bursting. What is the point of paying $5000/month to keep a job which pays $10000/month?
    - Spivak 8mo ago
      I mean it will be the employers of those programmers and at $5000/dev/month I expect a businesses will start demanding very tangible returns from this spend. And as much as I love the tools I don't think it's generating that much direct business value. It's very obviously not turning $140k devs into $200k devs.
- mikkupikku 8mo ago
  All exponential growth curves are actually S curves, before the inflection point.
arisAlexis 8mo ago
How is it artificially pumped everyone is at capacity, I'm using 2 pro subs per day, all my friends are using this new tech and so on. If you are still writing code you are smoked.

lm28469 8mo ago

The demand being: "trust me bro we will pay you when we're profitable" All it'll take is one company to go bust, oracle for example, for the whole thing to deflate Plus you're factually wrong, it happened for fiber optics and railroads

joe_mamba 8mo ago
>All it'll take is one company to go bust, oracle for example, for the whole thing to deflate Provided that of course, the US administration will be incorruptible enough to not bail out these tech companies with taxpayer money when they do eventually fail. But when you see the connection between Larry Ellison and Trump, you realize the whole "free market competition" is a scam for suckers. Always has been, just that now they don't even bother to hide it via some complex facades and shell games to garner a veneer of legitimacy, it's straight up banana republic style of corruption.
- lm28469 8mo ago
  > Provided that of course, the US administration will be incorruptible enough to not bail out these tech companies with taxpayer money when they do eventually fail. I'd love them to try that because virtually no one on any part of the political spectrum would get behind that besides the most corrupted and soulless ghouls masquerading as politicians
  - GCUMstlyHarmls 8mo ago
    I dunno between following the party king and "we must bail them out to avoid total economic collapse" (real or imagined), I wouldn't be betting against bailouts.
  - lotsofpulp 8mo ago
    I'd love them to try getting caught on audio asking a governor to find votes, and campaign on pardoning people convicted of treason because virtually no one on any part of the political spectrum would get behind that besides the most corrupted and soulless ghouls masquerading as politicians. I could have substituted many other things up there. I was very naive when I thought getting caught on audio talking about grabbing women by the pussy and being able to do whatever you want to them because you’re a celebrity was one of those things too.