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Iran is not an adversary of Israel, as much as the IRGC is.
by fortzi 8mo ago
Iran is not an adversary of Israel, as much as the IRGC is.
- jfengel 8mo agoAny subsequent government isn't likely to be a friend of Israel, either. They might decide to stop actively funding attacks and put the money to better use, but I wouldn't be so sure of that. It's the basis of a lot of ally relationships that they will want to maintain.
- breppp 8mo agoWhy? a non-religious Iran would have difficulty maintaining alliances with islamist organizations such as PMF and Hezbollah that were used to slaughter Iranian protestors. Also, like Syria it would probably pivot to a US-led alliance
- ch4s3 8mo agoIran had good relations with Israel prior to 1979 and never persecuted or expelled its Jews after 1948 unlike every other country in the region. In fact there’s a great degree of very old cultural affinity between Persians and Jews. A secular Iran is likely to have very close ties with Israel if for no other reason than as a backlash to the excesses of the cleracy.
- fortzi 8mo agoI agree, we don’t know what comes after bad leadership. Maybe a worse one. I’m afraid there isn’t much worse than a leadership that openly states that Israel should be destroyed, while developing a nuclear program. Maybe a similar but more competent leadership is worse.
- pphysch 8mo agoAre Iranians supposed to believe that after Israel destroyed every hospital and university in Gaza? Insulting. The IRGC is under every brick and pebble.
- reliabilityguy 8mo agoWhat does Gaza has to do with what Iranians believe? In war, when civilian infrastructure is used for military purposes, it will get destroyed. Look at all the cities in Ukraine where combat did happen, like Bahmut, or Mariupol. They got absolutely decimated. Any country on earth engaging in ground combat would do exactly the same tactics as Israel did, and we have plenty of evidence of that from the past 20 years.
- xenospn 8mo agoI have an ex-colleague from Tehran and he told me that people actually throw parties whenever Israel bombs Iran or assassinates one of the IRGC leaders, because they consider Bibi the only person in the world who is actually standing up to the regime. Make of that what you will.
- breppp 8mo agoGenerally the IRGC has everything to do with the current state of Gaza, as it was involved in planning and training for the October 7th attack. This was a masterstroke of Iranian strategy, while it initially looked they have yet again encouraged the Palestinians to commit national suicide on their behalf, in two years it looks like this is going to end with a national suicide of the Islamic Republic