4 ms·
The Baloch movement is orthogonal to the students movement. Jaish al-Adl would continue bombing Iranian police stations regardless of who's in power in Tehran
by alephnerd 8mo ago
The Baloch movement is orthogonal to the students movement.
Jaish al-Adl would continue bombing Iranian police stations regardless of who's in power in Tehran as long as India maintains operational control of Chabahar Port, Chabahar-Zahedan Railway, and INSTC.
Similarly, the BLA and BNA would continue bombing Pakistani police stations regardless of who's in power in Islamabad/Pindi as long as China maintains operational control of Gwadar Port, the Western Alignment expressway, and CPEC.
Iran is de facto non-existent in much of Sistan-ve-Balochistan. Heck, Urdu/Hindi fluency remains the norm in much of Iranian Balochistan as a large portion of Iranian Baloch continue to have family ties across the border in Pakistan, work with their brethren in the Gulf as migrant workers, or travel to Karachi, Quetta, or India for medical, religious (most Iranian Baloch are Deobandi), and education services.
- selimthegrim 8mo agoThere is some crossover otherwise agencies wouldn’t have killed Sabeen Mahmud.
- alephnerd 8mo agoThere is a lot of crossover. Heck, one of our old neighbors growing up was a Iranian Baloch-Pakistani Baloch couple and according to them Baloch marriage across the border was extremely common. And Uzair Baloch had ties to both Iranian and Indian intelligence [0]. The Iran-Pakistan and the Iran-Afghanistan border is very porous because of how isolated Sistan-ve-Balochistan and much of Khorasan is from the rest of Iran. [0] - https://herald.dawn.com/news/1153754 https://herald.dawn.com/news/1153754
- selimthegrim 8mo agoOh man I haven’t heard that name in a while. I still remember the Vice documentary going inside his house.
- alephnerd 8mo agoHaha yep, that documentary was wild - very old school Vice before they all got poached. But anyhow, the entire thing has become a quagmire after CPEC was announced in 2015, because that forced India to confront the very real possibility of being enricled by China during a war. This is what lead to India's quiet and now overt diplomacy with the Taliban, continued investment in Iran despite the sanctions, and building Saudi and UAE cofinanced megaprojects on the Indo-Pak border in GJ and RJ as well as in JK.