4 ms·
The concentration numbers are what make this structural imo and not at all cyclical. Top 10 were 45% of the S&P 500 by end of 2025, CAPE is at the 96th percenti
by 7777777phil 8mo ago
The concentration numbers are what make this structural imo and not at all cyclical. Top 10 were 45% of the S&P 500 by end of 2025, CAPE is at the 96th percentile since 1980, and AQR's latest capital market assumptions project just 3.9% real returns for US equities. I repositioned toward European equities and fixed income back in December. The Germany fiscal pivot alone is EUR 1T+ in infrastructure commitment: https://philippdubach.com/posts/how-ai-is-shaping-my-investment-portfolio-for-2026/ https://philippdubach.com/posts/how-ai-is-shaping-my-investm...
- deleted 8mo ago[deleted]