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If they make single market predictions with high accuracy it is very very likely they are

• genidoi 9mo ago
  No vigilant insider is making a series of "single market predictions with high accuracy" on the same account. They would make unlinkable bets on fresh accounts.
  • BoxFour 9mo ago
    > No vigilant insider is making a series of "single market predictions with high accuracy" on the same account. There seem to be quite a few non-vigilant insiders. That's the very premise of the post we're discussing. This is unsurprising to anyone who's seen the various ways people get busted for insider trading in equities.
  • meetingthrower 9mo ago
    Also insider trading is A-OK on prediction markets!