4 ms·

Shouldn't it be if you suspect they are executed by an insider?

• genidoi 8mo ago
  You can't be sure that they are an insider or lucky, just from onchain data.
  • bergen 8mo ago
    If they make single market predictions with high accuracy it is very very likely they are
    • genidoi 8mo ago
      No vigilant insider is making a series of "single market predictions with high accuracy" on the same account. They would make unlinkable bets on fresh accounts.
      • BoxFour 8mo ago
        > No vigilant insider is making a series of "single market predictions with high accuracy" on the same account. There seem to be quite a few non-vigilant insiders. That's the very premise of the post we're discussing. This is unsurprising to anyone who's seen the various ways people get busted for insider trading in equities.
      • meetingthrower 8mo ago
        Also insider trading is A-OK on prediction markets!