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Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.
by genidoi 8mo ago
Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.
- kylecazar 8mo agoShouldn't it be if you suspect they are executed by an insider?
- genidoi 8mo agoYou can't be sure that they are an insider or lucky, just from onchain data.
- bergen 8mo agoIf they make single market predictions with high accuracy it is very very likely they are
- genidoi 8mo agoNo vigilant insider is making a series of "single market predictions with high accuracy" on the same account. They would make unlinkable bets on fresh accounts.
- BoxFour 8mo ago> No vigilant insider is making a series of "single market predictions with high accuracy" on the same account. There seem to be quite a few non-vigilant insiders. That's the very premise of the post we're discussing. This is unsurprising to anyone who's seen the various ways people get busted for insider trading in equities.
- meetingthrower 7mo agoAlso insider trading is A-OK on prediction markets!