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Sure. I'll bet you that in calendar year 2028 Waymo has more paid passenger trips than Tesla. Loser donates $1k USD to Doctors Without Borders. I'm not a camer
by reitzensteinm 8mo ago
Sure. I'll bet you that in calendar year 2028 Waymo has more paid passenger trips than Tesla. Loser donates $1k USD to Doctors Without Borders.
I'm not a camera only doomer, and expect that in ten years Waymo will also not use Lidar, or that the units will be incredibly cheap and well integrated.
But I think the pro Tesla camp is exaggerating how quickly the march of 9s will happen for them, and underestimating and how quickly Waymo will expand in the next few years.
- bdangubic 8mo agoI am in on this as well and will do 10-1, I will donate $10k for any $1k pledged (would easily do 100-1 as I am sure Tesla will kill robotaxi within next 2 years “to focus on alienrobots on Moon Data Centers”)
- leesec 8mo agoOK I'm happy to book 10k on this at 10-1. Or whatever the max is you're OK with betting. Prefer just to give to eachother then donate. Please respond if you're serious and we can trade details
- leesec 8mo agoWill happily take this bet and also happy to 10x it if you want. Would prefer we just pay each other though. You can donate my money if you want
- reitzensteinm 8mo agoProceeds going to charity is a must for me - it keeps it friendly and significantly reduces the impact of counterparty risk. There's a reason Long Now uses this format, and I'm happy to use their platform and pay the fee: https://longbets.org/rules/ https://longbets.org/rules/ Email is reitzensteinm@gmail.com if you're interested.