4 ms·
That seems really high effort. I assume most events are things which are hard to influence, so at best you are hoping to tilt the wager odds into your favor. Wh
by 3eb7988a1663 8mo ago
That seems really high effort. I assume most events are things which are hard to influence, so at best you are hoping to tilt the wager odds into your favor. Which could backfire if you are betting on the wrong outcome.
- pphysch 8mo agoThere's plenty of "high effort" market information manipulation going on, even before LLMs. Spread (justified, researched) FUD about a company your fund is shorting.
- lazide 8mo agoThere have been a number of recent incidents in prediction markets where insiders have directly influenced the outcome after taking the opposite side of the bets.