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Not once in history has new technology lost to its detractors, even if half its proponents were knuckleheads.
by ronsor 8mo ago
Not once in history has new technology lost to its detractors, even if half its proponents were knuckleheads.
- BJones12 8mo agoNuclear power disagrees
- raincole 8mo agoNuclear power will win (obviously). Unless you're talking about nuclear weapon.
- hubertdinsk 8mo agolatest counter-example is NFT.
- ronsor 8mo agoNFTs lost because they didn't do anything useful for their proponents, not because people were critical of them. They would've fizzled out even without detractors for that reason. On the other hand, normal cryptocurrencies continue to exist because their proponents find them useful, even if many others are critical of their existence. Technology lives and dies by the value it provides, and both proponents and detractors are generally ill-prepared to determine such value.
- hubertdinsk 8mo agooh it's "because of this and that" now? The orignal topic was "not once blah blah...". I don't have to entertain you further, and won't.
- blibble 8mo agomoving the goalposts
- rsynnott 8mo agoOkay, but during the NFT period, HN was trying to convince me that they were The Future. Same with metaverses, same with Bitcoin. I mean, okay, it is Different this time, so we are told. But there’s a boy who cried wolf aspect to all this, y’know? Baseline assumption: HN is full of people who assume that the current fad is the future. It is kind of ground zero for that. My HN account is about 20 years old and the zeitgeist has been right like once.
- qotgalaxy 8mo ago[dead]
- latexr 8mo agoWeb3, Google Glass, Metaverse, NFTs…
- CamperBob2 8mo agoThose are products, not technologies.
- numbnutsssssss 8mo ago[flagged]
- latexr 8mo agoGoogle Glass was a product. The others definitely are not.
- bigyabai 8mo agoWeb3, Metaverse and NFTs all failed to stand on their own two legs as a technology. It feels fair to call them products, none of them ever attained their goal of real decentralization.
- rsynnott 8mo agoAh, yes. That’s why we all have our meetings in the metaverse, then go back home on the Segway, to watch 3d TV and order pizza from the robotic pizza-making van (an actual silly thing that SoftBank sunk a few hundred million into). And pay for the pizza in bitcoin, obviously (in fairness, notoriously, someone did do that once). That’s just dumb things from the last 20 years. I think you may be suffering from a fairly severe case of survivorship bias. (If you’re willing to go back _30_ years, well, then you’re getting into the previous AI bubble. We all love expert systems, right?)