Nate Silver (probably in response to some of these things) also has a blog about the limits of his (and other) models: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

Nate Silver (probably in response to some of these things) also has a blog about the limits of his (and other) models: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/24/oct-23-the-virtues-and-vices-of-election-prediction-markets/ http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/24/oct-23-t...