4 ms·
Is Opsec 101 to increase the estimate by two orders of magnitude? "We think this operation will take about 10 weeks, so we're estimating 10 years."
by SketchySeaBeast 8mo ago
Is Opsec 101 to increase the estimate by two orders of magnitude? "We think this operation will take about 10 weeks, so we're estimating 10 years."
- schiffern 8mo agoThe answer is "long enough to avoid giving away operational details," not some robotically applied constant multiplier like 10x. We also don't know whether they expected this to take 1 day or more. Just because it worked out quickly doesn't mean that's the "worst case" operational timeline.
- lazyasciiart 8mo agoIsn’t that how estimating timelines should work?