4 ms·

The content is the same as this article but the headline on Yahoo Finance is: "Jobs report smashes expectations as payrolls grow by 130,000" There's no chance

by mrtksn 9mo ago

The content is the same as this article but the headline on Yahoo Finance is: "Jobs report smashes expectations as payrolls grow by 130,000" There's no chance for survival just by glancing over the headlines.

ceejayoz 9mo ago
That's noted in this article: > One bright spot was last month, when hiring increased by 130,000 roles. This was significantly more than the 55,000 additions that had been expected by economists. But that's 2026 hiring, and the article's about the 2025 revisions. (And the January number, as they all do, may get revised in a few months.)
- master_crab 9mo ago
  If I recall, the numbers almost always get revised down.
  - ceejayoz 9mo ago
    No. See the chart: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/bls-jobs-report-revision-trump-fires-commissioner/ https://www.cbsnews.com/news/bls-jobs-report-revision-trump-... Both directions are common.
    - deleted 9mo ago
      [deleted]
    - daemonologist 9mo ago
      Historically both directions are common, but in 2025 every month was revised down from the preliminary report except October. (They were revised down a lot in 2023 and 2024 as well fwiw.) https://www.hiringlab.org/2026/02/11/january-2026-jobs-report/ https://www.hiringlab.org/2026/02/11/january-2026-jobs-repor...
- kingkawn 9mo ago
  If all of 2025 was overestimated, possibly for political purposes, then why believe that the 2026 numbers are accurate?
  - ceejayoz 9mo ago
    Revisions are normal. It would be quite hard in the long run to make faked BLS numbers line up with other independent data points, like ADP's payroll reports and the IRS's revenues.
    - longfacehorrace 9mo ago
      Exactly. So we should not believe numbers posted ASAP to Yahoo and other for profit media to drive engagement. Wait for revisions from the source. Cheap publishing that reaches across the world has created a race to the bottom.
- dgb23 9mo ago
  Also 130'000 seems to be moderate. It beats expectations but is only slightly above what is needed to keep employment stable.
- JohnTHaller 9mo ago
  Word on the street is that the January number is about to get revised down by a lot. Time will tell.
Me1000 9mo ago
ADP is reporting only 22,000: https://adpemploymentreport.com https://adpemploymentreport.com
kleiba 9mo ago
This is the White House's spin: https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/2026/02/this-is-the-trump-economy-job-growth-crushes-expectations-as-more-americans-work-for-higher-wages/ https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/2026/02/this-is-the-trum...
luckydata 9mo ago
whoever believes the jobs report coming out of this administration is a complete fool.

by mrtksn 9mo ago

ceejayoz 9mo ago

That's noted in this article: > One bright spot was last month, when hiring increased by 130,000 roles. This was significantly more than the 55,000 additions that had been expected by economists. But that's 2026 hiring, and the article's about the 2025 revisions. (And the January number, as they all do, may get revised in a few months.)

master_crab 9mo ago
If I recall, the numbers almost always get revised down.
- ceejayoz 9mo ago
  No. See the chart: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/bls-jobs-report-revision-trump-fires-commissioner/ https://www.cbsnews.com/news/bls-jobs-report-revision-trump-... Both directions are common.
  - deleted 9mo ago
    [deleted]
  - daemonologist 9mo ago
    Historically both directions are common, but in 2025 every month was revised down from the preliminary report except October. (They were revised down a lot in 2023 and 2024 as well fwiw.) https://www.hiringlab.org/2026/02/11/january-2026-jobs-report/ https://www.hiringlab.org/2026/02/11/january-2026-jobs-repor...
kingkawn 9mo ago
If all of 2025 was overestimated, possibly for political purposes, then why believe that the 2026 numbers are accurate?
- ceejayoz 9mo ago
  Revisions are normal. It would be quite hard in the long run to make faked BLS numbers line up with other independent data points, like ADP's payroll reports and the IRS's revenues.
  - longfacehorrace 9mo ago
    Exactly. So we should not believe numbers posted ASAP to Yahoo and other for profit media to drive engagement. Wait for revisions from the source. Cheap publishing that reaches across the world has created a race to the bottom.
dgb23 9mo ago
Also 130'000 seems to be moderate. It beats expectations but is only slightly above what is needed to keep employment stable.
JohnTHaller 9mo ago
Word on the street is that the January number is about to get revised down by a lot. Time will tell.

Me1000 9mo ago

ADP is reporting only 22,000: https://adpemploymentreport.com https://adpemploymentreport.com

kleiba 9mo ago

This is the White House's spin: https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/2026/02/this-is-the-trump-economy-job-growth-crushes-expectations-as-more-americans-work-for-higher-wages/ https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/2026/02/this-is-the-trum...

luckydata 9mo ago

whoever believes the jobs report coming out of this administration is a complete fool.