This has been going on in technology for decades. 1. New productivity enhancer comes out. 2. Everyone thinks, "This is it! Work will get shorter|easier a

This has been going on in technology for decades. 1. New productivity enhancer comes out. 2. Everyone thinks, "This is it! Work will get shorter|easier as a result of this!" 3. Instead the work gets faster|more|higher quality and the (time) volume stays roughly the same. This applies across (almost?) everything: club newsletters that used to take half a day to write out by hand later took half a day to type and lay out with some clip art. It still takes a year or more to make a movie, but now we get Avatar instead of Ice Pirates -- look it up! :-) When work reduction does happen, it generally happens at a person-quantum level: people hang on to their role until it goes away entirely, and they (hopefully) find something else to do. Rarely is it the case that someone legitimately reduces to part time incrementally as productivity increases. AI is similar: no doubt jobs will go away as a result, but much less often will AI result in jobs that are easy/part time. For anyone still in the "work" game, even with AI there's still 5x8 hours of work to do.