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You imply your view "matches REALITY", then fall back to "Either way this is also opinion based." Nicely played. But the actual reality is that scientific disco

You imply your view "matches REALITY", then fall back to "Either way this is also opinion based." Nicely played. But the actual reality is that scientific discovery is proceeding at least as fast as it ever has. These things take time. 20 years is a laughably short time in which to declare defeat, even ignoring the fact that genetic and other biological tech has advanced leaps and bounds in that time. There's important work happening in solid state physics and materials science. JWST is overturning old theories and spawning new ones in cosmology. There's every reality-based reason to believe there will be plenty of big changes in science in the next 20 years or so.

threethirtytwo 9mo ago
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- andrewflnr 9mo ago
  No, your opinions bias toward negativity, and we can see it in this comment by the way you shift the goalposts for every achievement until you can poo-poo it. Oh, except for the ones you just omitted from your quote, maybe because even you can't rationalize why CRISPR isn't a step change.
  - threethirtytwo 9mo ago
    >No, your opinions bias toward negativity, and we can see it in this comment by the way you shift the goalposts for every achievement until you can poo-poo it. Oh, except for the ones you just omitted from your quote, maybe because even you can't rationalize why CRISPR isn't a step change. Not true at all. CRISPR isn't a step change because it only made genetic engineering more efficient and it didn't effect the lives of most people. It's still a research thing. I didn't poo-poo AI did I? That's the favorite thing for everyone to poo-poo these days and ironically it's the one thing that effects everyones life and is causing paradigm shifting changes in society right now.
    - andrewflnr 9mo ago
      CRISPR "only made genetic engineering more efficient" which is no big deal. Smartphones don't count though, despite both requiring scientific breakthroughs in multiple fields and turning society upside down, because... reasons. Your standards are incoherent. BTW, for someone who claims not to poo-poo AI, I find it hilarious that you still don't think we're due for another breakthrough or two in that area in the next decade or so. I hate the current genAI craze and I still think that's coming.
      - threethirtytwo 9mo ago
        It’s no longer a break through because the breakthrough already happened. Everything subsequent to LLMs is an incremental increase in optimization and not a breakthrough. Even if some breakthrough occurs it will be dragged through shit and ridiculed for being overused for generating slop. Smartphones required zero breakthroughs. It’s just existing technology made smaller and more efficient. What changed is how we used technology. Under your reasoning dating apps would be a breakthrough.

threethirtytwo 9mo ago

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andrewflnr 9mo ago
No, your opinions bias toward negativity, and we can see it in this comment by the way you shift the goalposts for every achievement until you can poo-poo it. Oh, except for the ones you just omitted from your quote, maybe because even you can't rationalize why CRISPR isn't a step change.
- threethirtytwo 9mo ago
  >No, your opinions bias toward negativity, and we can see it in this comment by the way you shift the goalposts for every achievement until you can poo-poo it. Oh, except for the ones you just omitted from your quote, maybe because even you can't rationalize why CRISPR isn't a step change. Not true at all. CRISPR isn't a step change because it only made genetic engineering more efficient and it didn't effect the lives of most people. It's still a research thing. I didn't poo-poo AI did I? That's the favorite thing for everyone to poo-poo these days and ironically it's the one thing that effects everyones life and is causing paradigm shifting changes in society right now.
  - andrewflnr 9mo ago
    CRISPR "only made genetic engineering more efficient" which is no big deal. Smartphones don't count though, despite both requiring scientific breakthroughs in multiple fields and turning society upside down, because... reasons. Your standards are incoherent. BTW, for someone who claims not to poo-poo AI, I find it hilarious that you still don't think we're due for another breakthrough or two in that area in the next decade or so. I hate the current genAI craze and I still think that's coming.
    - threethirtytwo 9mo ago
      It’s no longer a break through because the breakthrough already happened. Everything subsequent to LLMs is an incremental increase in optimization and not a breakthrough. Even if some breakthrough occurs it will be dragged through shit and ridiculed for being overused for generating slop. Smartphones required zero breakthroughs. It’s just existing technology made smaller and more efficient. What changed is how we used technology. Under your reasoning dating apps would be a breakthrough.