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The best part about this whole debate is that we don't have to wait years and years for one side to be proven definitively right. We will know beyond a shadow o
by woeirua 9mo ago
The best part about this whole debate is that we don't have to wait years and years for one side to be proven definitively right. We will know beyond a shadow of a doubt which side is right by this time next year. If agentic coding has not progressed any further by then, we will know. On the other hand, if coding agents are 4x better than they are today, then there will be a deluge of software online, the number of software engineers that are unemployed will have skyrocketed up and HN will be swamped by perma-doomers.
- MrVandemar 9mo agoMaybe we will know, but meanwhile thousands of developers are a long down way the rabbit-hole signposted "the psychology of prior investment".
- awesome_dude 9mo agoWait - why are we waiting (another) year? ChatGPT has been out for 3 years (Nov 2022) Claude almost 3 years (March 2023) Gemini 1 and a bit years (2024) There hasn't been an avalanche of new software online - if anything things have slowed
- woeirua 9mo agoDid you miss the chart from FT that shows the number of iOS apps and GH commits taking off late last year? It’s happening.
- csomar 9mo agoYes, the Garbogization[1] of the Internet is happening at full steam. 1: Garbage filling a place.
- awesome_dude 9mo agoI'm not sure if you are being serious, but Number of commits don’t tell anything about the value and quality of those commits. Please don’t measure yourself with this poor metric. — Jaana Dogan ヤナ ドガン (@rakyll) February 26, 2019 Number of IOS apps isn't much of a metric either to be honest, but sure we can pretend that that's a result of the AI revolution...
- booleandilemma 9mo agoSurely this will be the year of AI dominance. And the year of the Linux desktop will be next year.