There's a Taleb vs. Sornette debate (argument) on YouTube. I thought Taleb won (complex system outcomes, in the sociopolitical realm, cannot be predicted). But

There's a Taleb vs. Sornette debate (argument) on YouTube. I thought Taleb won (complex system outcomes, in the sociopolitical realm, cannot be predicted). But then I'm a Taleb fanboy. Sornette (my first and last exposure to him) came across as a relic from a different age. Pitifully out of touch.