At what odds? This is an easy bet to make: just short-sell the stock or buy a put against it. Markets are anti-inductive. http://lesswrong.com/lw/yv/markets_ar

At what odds? This is an easy bet to make: just short-sell the stock or buy a put against it. Markets are anti-inductive. http://lesswrong.com/lw/yv/markets_are_antiinductive/ http://lesswrong.com/lw/yv/markets_are_antiinductive/