Given that Tesla is a startup, it's a fair bet to say that "huge success" or "bust" are the most likely outcomes. But regarding point B: many makers already ha

Given that Tesla is a startup, it's a fair bet to say that "huge success" or "bust" are the most likely outcomes. But regarding point B: many makers already have an electric model: Toyota, Honda, Nissan, Ford. I think Tesla is a cool company, but they didn't invent the concept of the electric car and they don't have a monopoly over it. I think it's likely that electric cars will gain a bigger share of the market relatively soon (in auto industry terms), even if Tesla doesn't succeed.