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Decline happens also in territories that had been urbanized decades or even centuries ago but had positive fertility rate until 2010s. As I said you can pull a
by varjag 9mo ago
Decline happens also in territories that had been urbanized decades or even centuries ago but had positive fertility rate until 2010s. As I said you can pull a patchy blanket of micro-theories explaining each region but not one theory that accounts for them all.
- cyberax 9mo agoYes, but it happened in stages. The fertility fell each time people moved into higher density areas. You can even see mild recovery when de-densification happens. It's very interesting to compare the fertility rate in Denmark and Netherlands: https://www.macrotrends.net/datasets/global-metrics/countries/dnk/denmark/fertility-rate https://www.macrotrends.net/datasets/global-metrics/countrie... https://www.macrotrends.net/datasets/global-metrics/countries/nld/netherlands/fertility-rate https://www.macrotrends.net/datasets/global-metrics/countrie... You can see the dip and a recovery in Denmark and essentially no recovery in Netherlands (until post 2000, but that was due to immigration). Why? Here's the answer: https://www.macrotrends.net/datasets/global-metrics/cities/20894/copenhagen/population https://www.macrotrends.net/datasets/global-metrics/cities/2... https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/cities/21930/amsterdam/population https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/cities/21930/amst... Denmark de-densified its cities during the late 70-s (that's why Copenhagen is the world's most liveable city, btw).
- varjag 9mo agoGenerally when people say urbanisation is the cause of fertility decline they mean people moving out of 7 child families at subsistence farms and rice paddies to city factories. Not any developments in Denmark or the Netherlands in last 150 years.