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That's really cool. Polls are pretty useless. I'm a fan of using prediction markets like betfair to figure out what's going on. When people stake money on an o
by bo1024 14y ago
That's really cool.
Polls are pretty useless. I'm a fan of using prediction markets like betfair to figure out what's going on. When people stake money on an opinion, it gives it a lot more weight.
For awesome analysis on prediction markets and the elections, check out the signal: http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/signal/ http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/signal/
- Evbn 14y agoWhere do you think bettors in prediction markets get their data? Compare the market price on Obama to what Fivethirtyeight estimates based on poll data. Pretty close.