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> the writing is on the wall that eventually we will automate virtually all jobs out of existence No, it really isn't. We've already been down this road, multi
by codingdave 8mo ago
> the writing is on the wall that eventually we will automate virtually all jobs out of existence
No, it really isn't. We've already been down this road, multiple times over history. Look at the jobs people did 100 years ago, or even 500 years ago. Core services to keep societal infrastructure running, including education and food production, is still here. Different, but still absolutely a good chunk of the work done in this world. We have never automated away that core 30-40% of work in the world, we just changed what everyone else did. The change just feels bigger to those of us who work in tech, which falls squarely in the "other" category that isn't truly the core of a functioning humanity.
AI might bring significant change, or it might not - we're still too early to tell, and recent news about how almost no companies are getting their ROI on AI is proof of that. Odds are, it will go the way the tractor did 100 years ago: Quick adoption, quick failure, quick reversion, pause for a decade to re-assess and improve, then actual adoption and success after that decade. So, around 2037.
We're 10 years from even knowing if this is a fad or if it is real societal change.
The writing is absolutely not on the wall.
- osigurdson 8mo agoIf we have a scenario where humans can't outperform machines in any problem domain it will definitely be different than past productivity increases.