I think we are closer than most folks would like to admit. in my wild guess opinion: - 2027: 10% - 2030s: 50% - 2040: >90% - 3000: 100% Assuming we don't

I think we are closer than most folks would like to admit. in my wild guess opinion: - 2027: 10% - 2030s: 50% - 2040: >90% - 3000: 100% Assuming we don't see an existential event before then, i think it's inevitable, and soon. I think we are gonna be arguing about the definition of "general intelligence" long after these system are already running laps around humans at a wide variety of tasks.